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How many wedding guests will actually come?

Family rarely declines, coworkers often do, and out-of-town guests are the biggest question mark. Split your guest list into groups and we’ll estimate how many people to expect, with a safe margin both ways.

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Who you’re inviting
guests

Parents, siblings, grandparents

guests

Aunts, uncles, cousins and their families

guests

Including the wedding party

guests

Family friends, neighbors, plus-ones

guests

Colleagues and bosses

Circumstances
25%

Guests who need a flight or a hotel decline most often

Calculator result

Expected guests

111guests

from 100to 122

out of 140 invited

Will decline
29 guests
21% of those invited
Book the venue for
122 guests
Top of the range
Meals before RSVPs
115 guests

Who will come

  • Friends40 × 82%33 guests
  • Immediate family30 × 93%28 guests
  • Extended family35 × 77%27 guests
  • Acquaintances20 × 70%14 guests
  • Coworkers15 × 64%10 guests
  • Book a venue for about 122 guests - contracts usually let you lower the guaranteed count until 1-2 weeks before the wedding, but adding guests often isn’t possible.
  • Give the caterer your final count only after the RSVPs are in. Until then, plan for 115 meals.

How we calculate

  1. Each group has its own decline rate: immediate family about 4%, friends about 10%, extended family about 15%, acquaintances about 22%, coworkers about 28%. A single rate for everyone overstates family and understates casual guests.
  2. Out-of-town guests add about 30 points of declines (8 for immediate family); a holiday weekend, peak summer, or the winter holidays add about 5 points, with immediate family affected least. A destination wedding counts everyone as out of town and adds another 5 points.
  3. We also count guests who said yes but don’t show up: about 1% with reminders, about 3% without.
  4. The range combines the randomness of replies (the more guests in “risky” groups, the wider it gets) and the error in our assumptions. The top of the range is the number to book the venue for.

Cheat sheet: prices and good practice

Attendance in practice

  • Typically 75-85% of invited guests attend
  • Local guests: about 85%, out-of-town guests: about 55-65%
  • Destination weddings: often only 50-65%
  • Plus-ones and kids count as separate guests - list them in the right group

Timeline

  • Save-the-dates: 6-8 months before (8-12 for a destination wedding)
  • Invitations: 6-8 weeks before, RSVP deadline 3-4 weeks before
  • Final headcount for the caterer: usually 1-2 weeks before

Questions and answers

How many guests should we invite to get 100?

With a typical mix (lots of family, some out-of-town guests, a few coworkers), invite about 125-130 people. The more acquaintances, coworkers, and guests who have to travel, the bigger the cushion you need.

How many people should we book the venue for?

For the top of the range. Lowering the guaranteed count before the wedding is usually free; raising it isn’t always possible, because the venue has a capacity limit.

Do plus-ones count?

Yes - every adult with a seat is a guest. A friend’s plus-one is a little less likely to come than the friend, so put plus-ones in the acquaintances group.

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